The NBA season resumes on Sunday with nine games spread throughout the day. Our NBA betting experts found the top three bets, including two prop bets and a money line game. Jim Turvey, Chris Baker and Munaf Manji break down their best bets for Warriors-Timberwolves and Grizzlies-Knicks below.
NBA Odds & Tips
Jim Turvey: First of all, that’s a number KAT has cleared with great regularity this season. The big man averages 5.4 assists per game, but more importantly, he’s dished out at least five assists in 13 of his 19 games this year.
That’s a big jump from last season, but if we go back a few years, it was about 4.5 the previous two seasons. With more guns than ever on this offense, it will turn out that his assists would get a boost this year.
With potential assists, KAT is set for a bit of regression (which is why I think the books are 4.5 instead of 5.5), but I don’t see Sunday being that day. The Warriors and Wolves are the second and third fastest teams in pace in the association this season, and the Warriors are yielding the third most points per game.
There are a few different ways to play this game, and with such a fast-paced nature and the potential for a high total, I don’t hate a same-game parlay here if that’s your style (as most books don’t offer that). the unders at creating SGPs, I really hate them in less action slow games).
Exceeding the total and Klay Thompson picking up 18.5 points are two other games I like, but KAT Over 4.5 Assists at -105 is my favorite game of the group at DraftKings.
Golden State Warriors vs. Minnesota Timberwolves
Chris Baker: The Warriors are heating up after a slow start to the season and they’re getting a great matchup here against this Timberwolves team. Wolves live on offense at the rim as they rank fourth in the NBA in rim rate. That’s no surprise considering how they built their team with this twin tower lineup of Rudy Gobert and Karl-Anthony Towns side by side.
This is an issue as they are up against a Warriors defense that does an excellent job of defending the suit. The Warriors defense leads the NBA in rim rate, allowing just 26.5% of opposing shots on the rim.
On the other hand, the Timberwolves are struggling to defend the 3-point line as they are 23rd in the season in 3-point attempt rate. This is a big problem when faced with a Warriors offense that ranks second in the 3-point attempt rate of the year. I don’t expect this big Timberwolves defense to successfully defend the 3-point line against Steph Curry, Klay Thompson and Jordan Poole. Trust the Warriors to continue their winning streak on the streets Sunday afternoon.
Munaf Manji: Yes, Morant and the Grizzlies are headed to Madison Square Garden tonight to take on the New York Knicks and I’m expecting Morant to score big in that duel.
First, we all know that every basketball player in the Mecca of the NBA is going to have an extra swing in their stride. So far this season, Morant has averaged 28.6 points per game at 57.2% true shooting. Those numbers are getting better on the road, however, as Morant is averaging 30.9 points per game on the road this season. The Grizzlies played the Knicks in the first game of the season, and Morant scored 34 points in that game.
Additionally, the Knicks have been struggling to defend the point guard position for the past seven days. The Knicks have given away 30 points per game to opposing point guards for the past week. Expect Morant to improve his game under the bright lights and I would put this at a 29.5.
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