One expert’s biggest regret in three weeks

Most of my fantasy football seasons have followed the same mold, and it looks like 2022 will hopefully follow the same path:

– Survive September

– Rock October

I have a couple of teams in the middle of the table at the moment. I was right about some things, but I try not to be a Victory Lap guy. Today’s article will focus on things I did wrong and opportunities I missed and see if there’s a learning point.

Luckily, I put Jackson on a team because my colleague, co-manager, and good friend Frank Schwab pounded on the table for Jackson. You know what Jackson did; He basically gives you a two-headed superstar who posts juicy passing and running stats every week.

As long as Jackson doesn’t get injured, he looks like a strong bet for Fantasy and NFL MVP.

But I never focused on drawing Andrews and that was a mistake. A month ago I felt like if I took a vanity tight end early I wouldn’t end up having the strong wide receiver room I wanted or that I’d get one in the running back chase Pick would lag behind (I just wanted to take one back early, but we all want a collection of backs later).

Check out the tight end leaderboard through Week 3. Andrews has a 53.8 in half-point PPR (always my default league format) and Travis Kelce is on 45.6. Then it’s a factory of sadness and a bunch of infield singles. Nobody else has more than 30 points. Damn it, fellow Tyler Conklin (29 points) is currently the TE4. Will Dissly (77 yards, two touchdowns) ranked TE11.

I could have landed Andrews with several of my second-round picks or aggressively pursued him in my salary-cap leagues. Sure, I’d need answers on the RB/WR spots, but that’s where most fantasy managers get challenged anyway. Many backs and receivers were preseason bricks. Baltimore’s absurdly narrow pass tree and Andrew’s age (he’s 27, almost six full years younger than Kelce) should have made him a proactive pick.

One last stat to underscore what Jackson and Andrews are doing: Check out the Yahoo MVPs tab, the roster percentage of specific players who make up the top 500 public Yahoo teams. Jackson is on a paltry 67 percent of those superstar lists, while Andrews checks in at 45.4 percent.

The two early correct answers on Fantasy Football 2022 are playing for the same NFL team.

DJ Moore is one of my biggest receiver investments this year, and it was tied to two simple ideas. First of all, he’s a talented receiver, nobody misses that, and that’s still at an age when a career year could happen. And I figured new QB Baker Mayfield certainly couldn’t be as bad as the recent Carolina quarterbacks. Prior to this year, Moore’s touchdowns came off Kyle Allen, Teddy Bridgewater, and Sam Darnold and the last round of Cam Newton. Assuming Mayfield healed from last year’s left shoulder injury, he would certainly be a step forward for this offense and for Moore.

It didn’t play out like that. Mayfield was terrible. And he tripped Moore with the ship (7-88-1, a woeful catch rate of 38.9).

DJ Moore #2 of the Carolina Panthers used to be a fantasy star

DJ Moore has had an unfortunate start to the fantasy season. (Photo by Mitchell Leff/Getty Images)

Moore managers don’t have many options. Moore is too good to cut. If you traded it, you would certainly move to a collapsed value. You may have to bench him and just hope things get better. Perhaps you could revisit a trade, but only after Moore has a big game.

Perhaps it’s foolish to hold on to that hope, but perhaps Mayfield’s late arrival in Carolina this summer — trading didn’t happen until July — partly explains the slow start. It can only get better, right? On the other hand, Carolina head coach Matt Rhule might be overwhelmed, and seeing OC Ben McAdoo on the sidelines doesn’t comfort me either.

Does a limited quarterback need to submerge a talented wideout? I mean, Amari Cooper looks good in Cleveland. Find out, Panthers.

Comeback pending: Russell Wilson fights in Denver

I thought I connected the dots. Sure, Russell Wilson had a patchy 2021 season, his first lost year as a pro. But he got injured for the first time in 10 NFL seasons, and then he landed a trade at the perfect time. Denver seemed to offer better offensive infrastructure than Seattle. The Broncos could also give Wilson more ownership on offense. And Wilson entered a season at age 34, not a kill for a quarterback. It’s the only skill position in this league where a graceful second decade is possible, sometimes even likely.

Well we’ve been at the Wilson Broncos experience for three weeks and it’s been a nightmare. Sure, the Broncos are 2-1, but don’t let the record fool you. Denver is struggling to convert chances in the red zone, Wilson is out of sync with his receivers, and Denver has a lazy 43 points and a mediocre 1,044 offensive yards in three games.

Wilson’s handiness as a scrambler and runner declined significantly last year and has been even more vacant this season. Perhaps Wilson’s productivity always relied heavily on this element of his game, given his lack of size for the position. Maybe that ability is gone forever. If so, Wilson probably belongs in the middle of the QB rankings this summer, not in the top 10, which is where I proactively placed him.

It’s also possible that I slightly overestimated the talent in Denver. I wanted to believe Wilson would get that Tom Brady Reinvention in Tampa Bay, a new group of talented teammates at just the right time. That Tim Patrick Injury didn’t help, but maybe Jerry Jeudy is not quite as good as I thought. And as much as I want Javonte Williams Take off, the Broncos make me sad when they insist on heavyweight Melvin Gordon Use, with a dash of third-down option mike boone.

Wilson’s work ethic has never been an issue, and maybe Courtland Sutton is ready to spread its wings as we work our way deep into the schedule. Denver’s first three games also had two notable pitfalls — the Seahawks were, in hindsight, a poor Week 1 tie (change your hand signals, Russ!), and the San Francisco defense is always a terrible matchup.

I wouldn’t be a person if I didn’t worry about Wilson, and the advantage I dreamed of over the summer is probably gone now. But he could still develop into a useful player. At least I’m sticking with that story as we prepare for week 4.

Some other preseason mistakes and regrets: Too optimistic about the Chargers (a roster desperate for more team speed), not optimistic enough Saquon Barkleyprobably had Davante Adams an eyelash too high, thought Davis Mills would not be a problem for Brandin Cooks (he maybe is).

I could of course give you more regrets. It’s a big league. And I could also offer a few hits, but that’s not today’s jam. September is the learning month. It’s time to attack a new week and climb up the standings. Incremental Gains. Make one good decision, make another good decision.

Concentrate on the process. keep looping

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