Pistons rookie Jalen Duren is up against one of the worst rebounding teams in the NBA, but with his overall rebound juice, we’re looking elsewhere for betting opportunities. Find out more in our best prop picks for NBA players for January 30th.
A new week of promotions begins with eight games on the NBA odds board, meaning there’s no shortage of value in the NBA player prop market.
Tonight we’re looking at an underrated Kings sniper, a Bay Area superstar who’s shrugged off some injury gridlock, and a Pistons rookie who’s been filling the stats list for the past few weeks.
Check out my top NBA player prop picks for Monday January 30th below.
NBA Player Props for January 30th
The selection was made on 1/30/2023 at 1:30 p.m. ET.
Click on each selection to jump to the full analysis.
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The best props for today’s NBA players
The following odds widgets represent the best odds currently available for every betting market in regulated sports betting.
Sacramento’s second sniper
Rookie Keegan Murray was a huge compliment to the Sacramento Kings’ high-profile offense.
The Iowa rookie adds another sniper to the Kings alongside Kevin Huerter and in support of De’Aaron Fox and Domantas Sabonis. Murray will have a great chance to let it fly tonight against the Minnesota Timberwolves.
Murray has been absolutely on fire since the calendar switched to 2023. In the last 14 games, he’s hit a paltry 50.6% of his 6.4 three-pointers per game. And tonight he’s up against one of the worst teams in the NBA when it comes to 3-ball defense.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have great presence in the middle with Rudy Gobert, but the team is really struggling on the periphery. Minnesota ranks 21st in opponent 3-point attempts allowed per game and 25th in opponent 3-point shooting percentage.
Now Murray walked just 2 of 6 from beyond the arc when those teams met on Saturday night. Before that, Murray had hit three or more threes nine times in his last 12 games. Murray should get plenty of opportunities to jack it up and the even money makes the over 2.5 very worthwhile.
Keegan Murray prop: Over 2.5 made threes (+100)
It looks like Steph Curry has shaken off the griddle from a shoulder injury that cost him 11 games between mid-December and early January. After looking a little down on his return, Curry is now averaging 33 points in his last five games while shooting 42.1% from 3-point range.
Curry will have a great chance to continue picking buckets when he and the Golden State Warriors visit the Oklahoma City Thunder. OKC has been an extremely entertaining team this season, but it certainly has its flaws. One of those mistakes is containing enemy guards.
While the Thunder are a solid team overall defensively, they give enemy guards a lot of looks. In fact, this season, OKC grants opposing guards the second most field goal attempts and points per game. Additionally, they give up the most 3-point attempts and the second-most 3-pointers per game to opposing guards in the NBA.
Recently, they’ve ceded big nights to guards Darius Garland, Trae Young, Jamal Murray and De’Aaron Fox. These guys averaged 28.8 points per game.
Simply put, this matchup is right in Curry’s wheelhouse. So I support him in beating his 27.5 total score — a number he’s surpassed in four of his last five games.
Steph Curry prop: Over 27.5 points (-115)
Jalen fills it up
The Detroit Pistons’ season is obviously not going as planned, particularly with Cade Cunningham’s season-ending injury, but there are two upsides. Firstly, you have a chance to add another piece to an exciting young core. And second, they can develop some of the parts that are already in the building.
One of those plays is rookie center Jalen Duren. The 13th overall winner from Memphis has shown great potential lately. Duren averaged 10.7 points and 11 rebounds per game in his last 20 competitions. He could have a big night ahead against the Dallas Mavericks.
The Mavericks have a real problem on the glass and rank last in rebound rate, making Duren a great candidate to top his rebound totals. But since he’s seeded at 9.5 and juiced to the over, let’s take a look at his chances of hitting a double-double that comes at a much better price of +200.
Duren has eight double-doubles in that 20-game streak and he’s had several more where he missed a bucket or rebound. He has scored 11 or more points five times in his last six games and has had three double-doubles in that span.
Duren should prevail in the color in a matchup against an undersized Mavs team that is yet to do without Christian Wood.
Jalen Duren prop: To record a double-double (+200)