The 2022-2023 NBA season is here, and our friends at PrizePicks still have a TON of awesome props for us to take advantage of. PrizePicks is a great DFS props site where you can choose to pick games based on fantasy points or individual stats. The goal is to create a 2-player, 3-player, 4-player, or 5-player entry and then choose whether or not you want to play for the powerplay or the flexplay. With power play you need to get each of your selections right to win, and with flex play you have a little more wiggle room to win some money back.
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PrizePicks has two types of games. The first type of game is known as a Fantasy Score, which involves selecting different players and trying to determine if they exceed or fall short of their projected fantasy scores in a game. The second game is known as Single Stat. For the NBA, individual stats consist of points, rebounds, assists, three-pointers, and free throws, which determine whether the player in question will be over or under their predicted total. You can mix and match players from each game type in your listing or select all your games from the same game type. Once you’ve chosen your players and props, you can choose the Flexplay or Powerplay option above. Today we’re going to be looking at some individual stat results for tonight, December 8th.
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Individual Stats NBA Totals – DFS Prop Picks
Editor’s note: Prize pick prop totals are not always available first thing in the morning, so check back throughout the day as other props may be added throughout the day.
Tre Jones OVER 13.5 points – I’ll start with Tre Jones’ points support. The Spurs are a bit decimated, especially the absence of Jakob Poeltl and Devin Vassell is doubtful for today’s showdown with Houston. Jones has only played one game without these two guys, on April 9th of last season against the Warriors where he scored 15 points. The Houston defense is struggling hard in terms of points allowed, finishing 28th overall and 30th against point guards. My model gives us some serious value here, forecasting Jones at 21.4 for tonight.
Jusuf Nurkic OVER 9.5 rebounds – Next, let’s take a look at Jusuf Nurkic’s rebound post. Nurkic has a tough matchup tonight against the Nuggets, who are ranked 2nd in total rebounds allowed and ninth in rebounds allowed against centers. With Nassir Little sidelined tonight, Nurkic gets a pretty solid boost. He’s caught at least 10 rebounds in eight of his last 10 games without Little on the floor, averaging 12.3 rebounds per game. My model is predicting 13.6 rebounds for him tonight, which is proving to be solid at this point.
Reggie Jackson UNDER 15.5 points – I’m going to end things today by going under on Reggie Jackson’s points support. While Kawhi Leonard is likely to sit out in the second half of the duel, it actually seems to hurt Jackson in terms of scoring. He has scored 16 or more points in just two of his last ten games without Leonard in the lineup, with an 11.3 point average. My model also agrees, predicting Jackson only 12.1 points in this matchup with tonight’s Heat.
Other Recommendations – Ivica Zubac UNDER 11.5 points, Jabari Smith OVER 12.5 points, Josh Hart UNDER 7.5 rebounds, Jamal Murray OVER 4.5 assists
Overall recommendation for this game: FLEX
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