College Football Playoff Predictions updated by FiveThirtyEight

In case you haven’t figured it out yet, this weekend is an extremely pivotal week that will go a long way towards determining which four teams make it to the 2022 College Football Playoffs.

That’s because there’s a massive showdown between No. 2 Ohio State and No. 3 Michigan, as well as rivalry games in our great country like Notre Dame vs. No. 6 USC. The No. 4 TCU Horned Frogs also have a tricky game against Iowa State, so one way or another we’ll have a better idea of ​​how things are looking.

But before that, popular analysis site FiveThirtyEight updated its predictions for this week’s college football playoffs after the latest round of the college football playoff standings was revealed. It’s a pretty close decision, but there’s a clear split and really only about seven teams that have a legitimate shot at raining confetti.

Here are the latest College Football Playoff Predictions from FiveThirtyEight, featuring teams that have at least a 5% chance or more of making the CFP in Week 13 – Rivalry Week.

10

Alabama Crimson Tide (9-2)

Oct 8, 2022; Tuscaloosa, Alabama, USA; Alabama Crimson Tide head coach Nick Saban reacts during the second half against the Texas A&M Aggies at Bryant-Denny Stadium. Credit: Marvin Gentry-USA TODAY Sports

Chances of making the college football playoffs

5% ()

odds when they win

7%

9

Kansas State Wildcats (8-3)

11/19/2022; Morgantown, West Virginia, United States; Kansas State Wildcats safety Josh Hayes (1) celebrates after a save during the third quarter against the West Virginia Mountaineers at Mountaineer Field at Milan Puskar Stadium. Credit: Ben Queen-USA TODAY Sports

Chances of making the college football playoffs

10% ()

odds when they win

26%

8th

Oregon Ducks (9-2)

Oregon players celebrate a touchdown by running back Jordan James (center) as the Oregon Ducks take on the Stanford Cardinal Saturday, October 1, 2022 at Autzen Stadium in Eugene, Oregon. Ncaa Football Oregon Stanford Football Stanford At Oregon. Credit: USA TODAY Sports

Chances of making the college football playoffs

11% ()

odds when they win

36%

7

LSU Tigers (9-2)

FAYETTEVILLE, ARKANSAS – NOVEMBER 12: Head coach Brian Kelly of the LSU Tigers speaks to officials during the first half of a game against the Arkansas Razorbacks at Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium on November 12, 2022 in Fayetteville, Arkansas. (Photo by Wesley Hitt/Getty Images)

Chances of making the college football playoffs

24% ()

odds when they win

97%

6

USC Trojans (10-1)

November 5, 2022; Los Angeles, California, United States; USC Trojans quarterback Caleb Williams (13) battles California Golden Bears linebacker Henry Ikahihifo (16) in the second quarter at United Airlines Field at the Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum. Credit: Kiyoshi Mio-USA TODAY Sports

Chances of making the college football playoffs

32% ()

odds when they win

88%

5

Michigan Wolverines (11-0)

Michigan Wolverines kicker Jake Moody (13) celebrates with tight end Joel Honigford and other teammates after Moody scored the winning field goal against Illinois on Saturday, Nov. 19, 2022 for a 19-17 win to seal at Michigan Stadium. Credit: USA TODAY Sports

Chances of making the college football playoffs

46% ()

odds when they win

>99%

4

Clemson Tigers (10-1)

10/22/2022; Clemson, SC, USA; Clemson Tigers quarterback DJ Uiagalelei (5) and head coach Dabo Swinney talk with 11 minutes into the fourth quarter against the Syracuse Orange at Memorial Stadium. Credit: Ken Ruinard-USA TODAY Sports

Chances of making the college football playoffs

48% ()

odds when they win

75%

3

TCU Horner Frogs (11-0)

11/19/2022; Waco, TX, USA; TCU Horned Frogs Place Kicker Griffin Kell, 39, and his teammates celebrate defeating the Baylor Bears after Kell scored the game-winning field goal against the Bears after time ran out at McLane Stadium. Credit: Jerome Miron-USA TODAY Sports

Chances of making the college football playoffs

57% ()

odds when they win

>99%

2

Ohio State Buckeyes (11-0)

Ohio State RB Dallan Hayden named B1G Co-Freshman of the Week

11/19/2022; College Park, MD, USA; Ohio State Buckeyes running back Dallan Hayden (5) scores a quick touchdown against the Maryland Terrapins in the third quarter in their Big Ten game at SECU Stadium. Credit: USA TODAY Sports

Chances of making the college football playoffs

73% ()

odds when they win

>99%

1

Georgia Bulldogs (11-0)

11/12/2022; Starkville, Mississippi, USA; Georgia Bulldogs tight end Brock Bowers (19) celebrates with running back Kendall Milton (2) after a touchdown against the Mississippi State Bulldogs during the first quarter at Davis Wade Stadium in Scott Field. Credit: Matt Bush-USA TODAY Sports

Chances of making the college football playoffs

85% ()

odds when they win

>99%

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