Brazil vs South Korea Prediction, Odds, Betting Tips and Best Bets for World Cup Round of 16 2022

Brazil were forced to finish the group stage without their superstar Neymar, who sustained an injury in the opening game, but the PSG striker is expected to return on Monday when the betting favorites at the 2022 World Cup begin their path to the final with a round of 16 matchup against South Korea.

The Asian nation were a surprise Group H qualifier as they edged Uruguay into second place thanks to a 91st-minute goal win over Portugal in their final game, leaving Luis Suarez and his Uruguayan team-mates stunned and in tears.

Their sadness is Paulo Bento’s win as the South Korea coach is ready to lead his team against the South American Goliaths. He conceded that South Korea had “nothing to lose” against their heavily favored opponents and admitted that Brazil remain the pick to win the tournament.

Brazil have been plagued by a string of injuries and will need to shuffle the cards even if Neymar returns, which will give South Korea hope to surprise Brazil.

MORE: Follow all of The Sporting News’ daily 2022 FIFA World Cup tips and predictions here

Brazil vs South Korea Odds

Brazil are the clear favorites in this game, while South Korea are in for an upset at odds well over 11/1. Such a discrepancy is seldom seen in the knockout rounds of the World Cup, showing how amazing it was for the Asian team to break out of their group in dramatic fashion.

There is also great expectation that South Korea will be left out by the Brazilian defense. They were ruled out in their last game against a South American nation as they drew 0-0 with an uninspiring Uruguay side. This game could look similar as Brazil control possession and try to work slow in the attacking third.

Odds via BetMGM (USA), Sports Interaction (Canada), SkyBet (UK) and Ladbrokes (Australia).

As a reminder, all money line betting in football is for regulation only, regardless of the competition. If the game calls for a winner and goes into overtime or penalties, a money line bet on a regular tie will be successful and the remainder of the game will be disregarded.

BetMGM Sports
SkyBet Ladbrokes
Brazil wins -400 1.26 1/4 1/4
To draw +475 5.49 19/4 9/2
South Korea wins +1150 9.00 1.11 12/1
Both teams
to score Y/N
+138 / -200 2.26 / 1.50 5/4, 4/7 27/20, 8/15
over under
2.5 goals
-145 / +105 1.72 / 2.05 4/6, 11/10 10.07., 21.20
Brazil -1.5 -135 1.78
South Korea +1.5 +100 2.01
advance Brazil -1100 1.11 1/12 1/11
advance South Korea +575 5.53 6/1 6/1

Brazil vs. South Korea: 3 things to know

Team News Brazil vs. South Korea

All eyes will be on the Brazil starting XI neymarFitness is a big topic of conversation, but it seems he’s leaning toward gambling. He returned to training on Saturday and head coach Tite was positive about his status in the pre-game press conference. There are injuries too Daniel and Alex Sandro manageable, and both are questionable. Gabriel Jesus suffered a knee injury against Cameroon, which ended his World Cup while Alex Telles will probably also be made for the tournament.

South Korea has a clean bill of health for this game. Heung Min son wears a protective mask to avoid re-injury from an orbital fracture he sustained just before the tournament at club level. defender Kim Min Jae missed the game against Portugal with a foot injury but is expected to return.

MORE: Full injury tracker for all 32 teams at FIFA World Cup 2022

Brazil vs South Korea key stats

  • These two teams have played seven times, all in friendlies. South Korea has a win that came back in 1999 but dropped all six others with a 16-4 aggregate score. This is the first competitive game between the two countries.
  • Brazil have conceded the second fewest expected goals conceded of any team in the group stage, with just 0.95 xGA across their three games, behind only Argentina.
  • South Korea’s Portugal coach Paulo Bento is the only head coach of the 16 World Cup qualifiers who is not from the country he leads.

Facts about the game Brazil vs. South Korea

  • Date: Monday, December 5th
  • kick-off time: 2:00 PM ET / 7:00 PM GMT / 6:00 AM AEDT (Tue, Dec 6)
  • Location: Ras Abu Aboud Stadium
  • Officially: Clemens Turpin (France)

Brazil vs. South Korea Prediction

  • Moneyline Lean: Brazil (-400)
  • Lean against the spread: Brazil -1.5 (-135)
  • Outcome Prediction: Brazil 2-0 South Korea

This will be an overwhelming performance from Brazil as they try to keep South Korea off the ball as much as possible but if they give it away they will do so in safe situations and not making their back line that strong high they can be penalized on the counter.

I would stay away from the handicap distribution here as this match could just as easily end 1-0 or even 2-1, so there aren’t any great openings in that area. Eventually, Brazil should come through without too many problems.

MORE: How to watch Brazil vs South Korea in World Cup Round of 16

Brazil vs. South Korea: best bet

  • Choose: Under 2.5 goals
  • Opportunities: +100 (BetMGM)

Brazil is a slow offensive team that doesn’t want to give their opponent time on the ball. Their attack has been questionable so far this tournament, but their defense has been sensational. They conceded just one goal in the group stage, Vincent Aboubakar’s injury-time winner for Cameroon, with a paltry 0.95 xG over their three opponents. They absolutely choked Serbia and Switzerland as these two opponents combined scored 0.48 xG.

South Korea, meanwhile, will try to defend and counterattack, and overall they were very good defensively as well. They shut out Uruguay, allowing just one goal for a great Portuguese striker. While conceding three goals against Ghana, they didn’t concede many chances as the African nation fired just seven shots for 1.68 xG, and 0.73 of that on Mohammed Salisu’s opener.

Brazil vs. South Korea Prop Bet

  • Choose: Raphinha scorer at all times
  • Opportunities: +188 (BetMGM)

Brazil will focus their attack on the right flank. While it seems likely that Neymar will play, he won’t be pushing it and could be used more as a decoy on the left or in the middle to draw a lot of attention on the pitch. That should open things up on the right side for Raphinha.

Also, South Korea’s best counterattacking moments came on the left, with Jin-Su Kim and Heung-Min Son combining well on several occasions. If you give Rahpinha a lot of time on the ball, these two will be pushed back and can now come forward on the counterattack. This should be Brazil’s attacking strategy and it will serve the Barcelona winger well.

Brazil vs. South Korea Prop Bet

  • Choose: Under 3.5 cards
  • Opportunities: -136 (FanDuel)

These two teams are not yellow-card type teams as Brazil received only two bookings in the entire group stage, while South Korea had five but never more than two in a game. In addition, official Clement Turpin is one of the most lenient referees in the field, with few fouls and yellow cards in Ligue 1 and just three yellow cards in his two World Cup games to date.

This shouldn’t be a bad party. At +186 you can get under 2.5 cards, but I wouldn’t go that far as Neymar is the most fouled player in the world and always gets a few cautions alone.

Brazil vs. South Korea Live Stream, TV Channel

This round of 16 duel will be played at Stadion 974. So you can follow all the action in some of the most important global territories.

date time TV channel stream
United States of America Mon, December 5th 2:00 p.m. ET Fox,
Fox Sports website/app,
Telemundo Deportes Website/App,
Canada Mon, December 5th 2:00 p.m. ET TSN, CTV, RDS (French) TSN site/app, CTV app
RDS app
United Kingdom Mon, December 5th 19:00 GMT ITV, STV ITVX, STV Player
Australia Tue, Dec 6 06:00 AEDT SBS SBS on call
India Tue, Dec 6 00:30 IST sports 18 Voot, JioTV
Hong Kong Tue, Dec 6 03:00 CET Now TV (chap. 616, 618) TV now
Malaysia Tue, Dec 6 03:00 CET Astro FIFA World Cup 1 AstroGO
Singapore Tue, Dec 6 03:00 CEST StarHub TV FIFA World Cup, Single FIFA World Cup 141 SingleTV GO, CAST,
StarHub TV+, MeWatch
New Zealand Tue, Dec 6 08:00 NZDT Sky Sport 7 beIN Sports Sky Go, Sky Sports NOW

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