At least for now, transmission of COVID-19 appears to be slowing in Connecticut

Transmission of COVID-19 in Connecticut appears to be slowing, state figures show, after several months of steady increases.

As of Thursday, the state had averaged 1,137 daily cases over the past week, up from nearly 1,600 at one point earlier this month, though it was still much higher than immediately before the current wave. The state’s seven-day positivity rate, meanwhile, fell to 11.8 percent on Thursday from 14.2 percent last week.

Although both the case numbers and the test positivity rate are likely skewed by the popularity of home testing, most of which are never reported to authorities, experts say the metrics can still be useful for assessing overall trends.

Additionally, traces of COVID-19 in New Haven sewage appear to have plateaued or even declined slightly, data from Yale researchers shows, another sign Connecticut transmission is peaking, at least for now has reached.

As of Thursday, Connecticut had hospitalized 379 patients with COVID-19, a slight decrease from Wednesday when hospitalizations hit their highest level since February. Hospital admissions have continued to increase in recent days, but not as sharply as earlier this month.

“In the last two weeks, we have seen at least some stabilization in terms of COVID hospitalizations, which we can track, and community transmission, which we can roughly estimate with the current data,” said Dr. David Banach, hospital epidemiologist at UConn Health. “That’s why I’m cautiously optimistic for the coming weeks.”

Additionally, traces of COVID-19 in New Haven sewage appear to have plateaued or even declined slightly, according to Yale researchers.

Since March, Connecticut has been mired in a COVID-19 spike that experts have attributed to subvariant BA.2. What was originally expected to be a relatively small increase has instead resulted in a significant increase in cases and hospitalizations that lasted for more than two months.

Coronavirus-related deaths have not increased significantly during the recent wave, possibly because deaths are delaying cases and hospitalizations, but may also be a product of immunization protection, slightly less deadly strains of the virus and improved treatment protocols, including antiviral pills.

Leave a Comment