5 daring predictions for Oklahoma vs. Kansas State

Oklahoma are looking to go 4-0 up against a Kansas State team that has plagued the Sooners in recent years.

Going back even further, Brent Venables is familiar with the Wildcats’ ability to play spoilers. With experience as Oklahoma’s defense coordinator and as a coach and player at Kansas State, Venables knows what K-State football entails.

That’s why it’s incredibly unlikely that the Oklahoma Sooners would take it lightly or look past Kansas State, despite their loss to Tulane a week ago.

While the staff here at Sooners Wire and analysts from around the country are pretty confident the Sooners will remain undefeated. Kansas State will cause some problems for the Sooners, especially if Deuce Vaughn gets the ball.

To help you prepare for OU-Kansas State, here are some bold predictions.

1 Deuce Vaughn under 100 yards overall

Oct 2, 2021; Manhattan, Kansas, USA; Kansas State Wildcats running back Deuce Vaughn (22) runs the ball against Oklahoma Sooners linebacker David Ugwoegbu (2) during the second quarter at Bill Snyder Family Football Stadium. Scott Sewell-USA TODAY Sports

The biggest key to this game is how well the defense includes the Oklahoma Sooners running back Deuce Vaughn. Vaughn is one of the best players in the country and someone the Sooners have struggled with in recent years.

But this is a new year with a new defensive stance. They play fast and they play with different intensities.

It might be crazy to think the Sooners could keep Vaughn at bay, but after a quick look at the box score from a week ago, it’s not so crazy.

The Tulane Green Wave held Vaughn for 111 total yards in 28 touches. He had 81 rushing yards on 20 carries and 30 yards on eight receptions. Kansas State’s offensive line is better than Nebraska, but Oklahoma’s defense is arguably better than Tulane.

The Sooners have a chance to do some good things this year. If they can contain Deuce, it will go a long way in showing that this defense is one of the best in the country.

2 Dillon Gabriel throws for 300 (finally)

09/17/2022; Lincoln, Nebraska, USA; Oklahoma Sooners quarterback Dillon Gabriel (8) plays against the Nebraska Cornhuskers in the third quarter at Memorial Stadium. Dylan Widger-USA TODAY Sports

This is one of those bold predictions that we’ll keep coming back to until it comes true. Well, passing yards aren’t the be-all and end-all, and game script certainly matters. If OU wins by 30, you won’t have to air it for long.

I think Oklahoma will win big and maybe Gabriel will hit the 300 yard mark.

Dillon Gabriel’s 253 yards-per-game average over three weeks. Although week three was his lowest performance of the season, Gabriel missed a few shots that would have been big wins and didn’t play the entire game.

While my prediction for this week is for the Sooners to win big again, Gabriel is a lot sharper against the Wildcats, hitting the big games he missed a week ago.

3 Oklahoma doubles Kansas State’s sack count

09/10/2022; Norman, Oklahoma, USA; Oklahoma Sooners defenseman Jeffery Johnson (77) and Oklahoma Sooners defenseman Reggie Grimes (14) celebrate during the game against the Kent State Golden Flashes at Gaylord Family-Oklahoma Memorial Stadium. Kevin Jairaj-USA TODAY Sports

Beginning that game, the Kansas State quarterbacks were only released four times in three contests. But they haven’t faced a defense or a pass rush like the Oklahoma Sooners.

The Sooners have registered 13 sacks on the season, good for fourth in the country. Adrian Martinez is a mobile quarterback, but that hasn’t stopped the Sooners from pressuring the QB and taking him to the ground.

They were fantastic as a group and with more exotic rush plans dialed in by Ted Roof, Martinez won’t always know where the rush is coming from.

Watch for the Sooners to continue their four-sack-per-game pace this week against Kansas State.

4 Marcus Major scores again

September 10, 2022; Norman; Oklahoma Sooners running back Marcus Major (24) scores a second-half touchdown against the Kent State Golden Flashes at Gaylord Family-Oklahoma Memorial Stadium. Kevin Jairaj-USA TODAY Sports

In three games, Marcus Major has five touchdowns. Twice Major has recorded multiple touchdowns in the same game. He had another goal-line rush result against Nebraska and was the beneficiary of Brayden Willis’ tight-end pass.

Major seems really comfortable feeling at home in the end zone and does so again against Kansas State.

5 Sooners force three turnovers

09/17/2022; Manhattan, Kansas, USA; Kansas State Wildcats quarterback Adrian Martinez (9) attempts to get away from Tulane Green Wave defenseman Lance Robinson (7) during the third quarter at Bill Snyder Family Football Stadium. Scott Sewell-USA TODAY Sports

Adrian Martinez will give the Oklahoma Sooners opportunities to take football away. The only question is, can they capitalize?

Martinez has 30 interceptions in 42 career games. According to Pro Football Focus, Martinez has fumbled the ball 44 times in his career. While he hasn’t lost all, the Kansas State quarterback shows a penchant for putting the ball on the floor.

He hasn’t been asked to throw the football much or be overly aggressive with it, which is why he has yet to throw an interception this season. But that changes this week.

Faced with a relentless pass rush and forced to keep up with the Sooners’ explosive offensive attack, Martinez will be placed in some bad positions that will lead to some turnover-worthy plays.

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