2022 Pac-12 winning totals, odds, tips: predictions for each team as Oregon, USC aim to hit the over on big lines

With new coaches in Oregon, USC and Washington and a bevy of transfer quarterbacks to compete for starting jobs, the Pac-12 is being reworked for the 2022 season to weather a five-year college football playoff drought. Other changes to the league include a shift in determining Pac-12 title game participants, as now the two teams with the best percentage of league wins go head-to-head, regardless of division.

With coaching changes between the league’s biggest brands, defending Pac-12 champions Utah head into the new season as the league’s most established team. Head coach Kyle Whittingham will be in his 18th season and has the most stable QB in the league in Cam Rising. But even if the Utes are on solid footing after a Rose Bowl appearance, the Trojans will be the league’s biggest storyline in 2022.

With Lincoln Riley joining USC from Oklahoma and bringing with him a star-studded class of transfers including Oklahoma’s QB Caleb Williams and Pittsburgh’s reigning Biletnikoff winner Jordan Addison, the Trojans are expected to move quickly from the 4-8- fiasco of last season will recover . In the North, Oregon and Washington also expect to be immediately competitive among first-year coaches.

The 2022 college football season is upon us, and Caesars Sportsbook has published over/under wins for each Pac-12 team. Here are our summer picks on how each team will fare relative to Las Vegas expectations.

Arizona

Over/under 2.5 wins

  • Wins: State of North Dakota, Colorado, State of Washington
  • Losses: in San Diego State, Mississippi State, in Cal, Oregon, in Washington, USC, in Utah, at UCLA, Arizona State

Analysis: Even if the Wildcats lose two of their three nonconference games, which seems likely, they should improve enough to record three wins in coach Jedd Fisch’s sophomore season. There are no easy or obvious wins on this schedule, but Arizona has been far more competitive than its 1-11 record last season suggested. It should be able to break through a few times. Choose: Over 2.5 wins (-140)

State of Arizona

Over/under 6 wins

  • Wins: Northern Arizona, Eastern Michigan, Washington, UCLA, in Arizona
  • Losses: in Oklahoma State, Utah, at USC, in Stanford, in Colorado, in Washington State, in Oregon State

Analysis: Buckle up, because Herm Edwards’ fifth season as Arizona State head coach could be a wild ride. The Sun Devils have experienced heavy transfer churn amid an NCAA investigation that led to the resignation of defense coordinator Antonio Pierce. It will require a near 100% hit rate in the incoming transfer class if ASU wins eight games again. Qualifying for the bowl would be a win given how dismal the passing game could be when Florida transfer Emory Jones throws at quarterback against an unproven group of receivers. Choose: U6 wins (-125)

cal

Over/under 5.5 wins

  • Wins: UC Davis, UNLV, Arizona, in Colorado, Stanford
  • Losses: at Notre Dame, Washington State, Washington, Oregon, at USC, Oregon State, UCLA

Analysis: Cal has had oodles of experience over the past two seasons, but stumbled on a 6-10 record during that streak, even after hitting bowls in 2018 and 2019. Head coach Justin Wilcox brought in veteran NFL coaching Bill Musgrave as offensive coordinator starting in 2020, but the move didn’t spark the Bears at all. In an era of offense in college football, Cal has essentially shrunk into a poor man’s version of Iowa, and it’s hard to watch. Tip: Under 5.5 (-115)

Colorado

Over/under 3.5 wins

  • Wins: in the Air Force in the state of Arizona
  • Losses: TCU, Minnesota, UCLA, Arizona, California, Oregon State, Oregon, USC, Washington, Utah

Analysis: Colorado, like Arizona, doesn’t have any gimme games on its schedule. That makes life tough when you’re a projected bottom feeder looking for footing early in a coach’s tenure. Colorado isn’t that talentless tip win four games. But with Oregon and Washington both on the schedule from the North, six real road games and no pushovers, the bottom is a safer bet on this Vegas prediction. Choose: Under 3.5 wins (-130)

Oregon

Over/under 9 wins

  • Wins: East Washington, BYU, in Washington State, Stanford, in Arizona, UCLA, in California, in Colorado, Washington
  • Losses: against Georgia, Utah

Analysis: Dan Lanning’s move from Georgia defensive coordinator to Oregon head coach is facilitated by an experienced offensive line that’s expected to be among the best in the country. He may not have Georgia’s widespread and deep talent on the defensive side, but he does have a couple of elite guys in linebacker Noah Sewell and defensive tackle Brandon Dorius. All in all, there’s enough here for the Ducks to overcome the initial scare of opening up against Lanning’s old squad to contend for the Pac-12 title. A nine-win push is firmly in the game, but ten wins feel more likely than eight. Choose: Over 9 (-115)

Oregon State

Over/under 6 wins

  • Wins: Boise State, Fresno State, Montana State, USC, Colorado, California, Arizona State
  • Losses: in Utah, in Stanford, Washington State, in Washington, in Oregon

Analysis: Oregon State’s out-of-conference schedule is pretty tough with two solid Mountain West opponents at Boise State and Fresno State, followed by a game with high-profile FCS foe Montana State to get things started. However, the Beavers made significant strides last season, finishing 7-5 before losing in the LA Bowl. There’s enough backs for them to replicate this caliber of the season even if they end up dropping a non-conference game. Selection: Over 6 (-115)

Stanford

Over/under 4.5 wins

  • Wins: Colgate, Oregon State, Arizona State, Washington State
  • Losses: USC, Washington, Oregon, Notre Dame, UCLA, Utah, California, BYU

Analysis: The door is open for the Cardinal to regain his footing in the Pac-12 after a 3-9 season last year, but it will take a massive improvement in both lines of scrimmage for that to happen. Stanford couldn’t run the ball last season, and neither could it stop the run. The Cardinal should improve on his 2-7 league record, but non-conference games against Notre Dame and BYU look like roadblocks on the road to bowl eligibility. Selection: Under 4.5 (-115)

UCLA

Over/under 8.5 wins

  • Wins: Bowling Green, State of Alabama, South Alabama, Colorado, Washington, Utah, Stanford, State of Arizona, Arizona, California
  • Losses: in Oregon, USC

Analysis: With quarterback Dorian Thompson-Robinson returning to his fifth season, the offense is in good hands after making a nice move during the Bruins’ 8-4 season last year. Defense is a question mark under new coordinator Bill McGovern, but UCLA is nonetheless poised to continue building in Chip Kelly’s fifth season. The out-of-conference schedule is Cupcake City, and an Oct. 8 showdown with Utah could have major implications for the Pac-12 title game. Choose: Over 8.5 wins (-115)

U.S.C

Over/under 9 wins

  • Wins: Rice, in Stanford, Fresno State, Arizona State, Washington State, in Arizona, California, Colorado, at UCLA
  • Losses: in the state of Oregon, in Utah, Notre Dame

Analysis: Year 1 of Lincoln Riley’s tenure will be anything but boring. With a bevy of playmakers including former Oklahoma quarterback Caleb Williams, offense alone should be enough to put the Trojans back in the league title mix. Ultimately, however, there are too many question marks on defense to comfortably forecast USC going from four wins to 10 overnight. The record here calls for a push, but the under is a smart play as it’s the side with some juice. Choose: Push – Lean under 9 wins (+140)

Utah

Over/under 9 wins

  • Wins: Southern Utah, San Diego State, Arizona State, Oregon State, USC, Washington State, Arizona, Stanford, Oregon, Colorado
  • losses: in Florida, at UCLA

Analysis: The Pac-12 is owned by Kyle Whittingham until further notice. As dean of league coaches and leader of the reigning conference champions, he will rule 2022 when the doubt arises. This is especially true due to the transition in the league’s other top programs. An opening game in Florida is tough, as are trips to UCLA and Oregon. But you know what else is hard? Utah football players who have persevered against immense odds to take their program to new heights. Choose: Over 9 wins (+105)

Washington

Over/under 7.5 wins

  • Wins: Kent State, Portland State, Stanford, Arizona, California, Oregon State, Colorado
  • Losses: Michigan State, UCLA, Arizona State, Oregon, Washington State

Analysis: With the opening game against Kent State and Portland State, first-year coach Kalen DeBoer should have no trouble going 2-0. From there, the Huskies avoid USC and Utah from the Pac-12 South. With the tiniest shred of competence on offense, Washington should have no trouble getting relegated to the Bowl after their disastrous 2021 season. However, going from four wins to eight feels like too much of a boost. Choose: Under 7.5 wins (-105)

Washington

Over/under 5 wins

  • Wins: Idaho, State of Colorado, Cal, State of Oregon, State of Arizona, Washington
  • Losses: in Wisconsin, Oregon, at USC, Utah, in Stanford, in Arizona

Analysis: Washington State can be a surprise team in the Pac-12 North as it introduces a variation on the Air Attack with first-year coordinator Eric Morris, a Mike Leach student who arrives at Incarnate Word after four years as head coach. Morris is bringing his quarterback Cameron Ward to run the system, and that could give the conference fits. Tip: More than 5 wins (-130)

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